Stage 7 numeric pass and market legibility (price moves, history, insider exits)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

src/Decentralized.Domain/Tuning.cs

@@ -199,6 +199,8 @@ namespace Decentralized.Domain
         public const int PredictHistory = 8;
         /// <summary>盘口对消息的反应：每晚向"公开信息下的合理概率"靠拢的比例，以及盘口 logit 上的随机噪声（NPC 流量）。</summary>
         public const double PredictDrift = 0.5, PredictNoise = 0.35;
+        /// <summary>夜里价格变化超过多少（概率）写进晨间日志。</summary>
+        public const double PredictMoveLog = 0.15;
         /// <summary>情报贩子：局势简报价格（CRT）、三档内幕消息的价格（占盘口最大亏损的比例）与准确率、假情报概率（claim 与真相相反）、需要的黑市声望。</summary>
         public const double IntelBriefPrice = 120, IntelFake = 0.10;
         public static readonly double[] IntelTipPrice = { 0.01, 0.025, 0.05 }, IntelTipAcc = { 0.60, 0.80, 0.95 };
@@ -216,7 +218,7 @@ namespace Decentralized.Domain
         public const double PonziBase0 = 300, PonziBasePerDay = 15, PonziRateExp = 1.5;
         public const double PonziCap0 = 6000, PonziCapPerDay = 200, PonziWithdraw = 0.03;
         public const double PonziReport0 = 0.02, PonziReportRate = 0.5, PonziReportSize = 0.04;
-        public const double PonziCrime = 1200;
+        public const double PonziCrime = 400;
 
         /// <summary>插针：每天开门时出现的概率、幅度范围（对数价格的绝对值）、当晚回去的比例范围、不回去（真跌真涨）的概率。</summary>
         public const double WickChance = 0.07, WickMin = 0.15, WickMax = 0.30, WickRevertMin = 0.6, WickRevertMax = 1.0, WickReal = 0.3;
@@ -226,7 +228,7 @@ namespace Decentralized.Domain
         /// <summary>第三方收益池：同时最多几个、每晚新开的概率；日息档位；按日息的骗局概率，时间锁、审计各减多少；骗局池每晚跑路概率；
         /// 单池存款上限（随天数）；正规池的储备（日息 × 存款上限 × 天数）；时间锁取款等待天数。</summary>
         public const int YieldPoolMax = 3, YieldLockDays = 2;
-        public const double YieldPoolChance = 0.25, YieldRugNightly = 0.18, YieldCap0 = 2000, YieldCapPerDay = 60, YieldReserveDays = 25;
+        public const double YieldPoolChance = 0.25, YieldRugNightly = 0.18, YieldCap0 = 4000, YieldCapPerDay = 120, YieldReserveDays = 25;
         public static readonly double[] YieldRates = { 0.01, 0.02, 0.03 }, YieldScamByRate = { 0.15, 0.40, 0.75 };
         public const double YieldScamTimelock = 0.25, YieldScamAudit = 0.20;
         /// <summary>假客服：每天上门的概率；伪造转账：用币付款的顾客里是骗子的比例；两者都从第几天起。</summary>